Combat Edge Intelligence

Mario Piazzon vs Mario Sperry

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-1-0Record13-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'2"
73"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight210 lbs
Galpao da Luta· 1695 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mario PiazzonNow 1663
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
Mario SperryNow 1659
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mario PiazzonMario Sperry
16501700200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (73%)
KO/TKO
7 (54%)
1 (9%)
Submission
3 (23%)
2 (18%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Mario Piazzon70%
Mario Sperry 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Mario Piazzon a 70% favorite over Mario Sperry in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1663 vs 1659), separated by just 4 points.

Mario Piazzon enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Mario Piazzon finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Mario Sperry 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.