Mario Piazzon vs Matt Gawlik
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record6-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'3"
73"Reach-
265 lbsWeight235 lbs
Galpao da Luta· 1688 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamTeam Top Notch
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623
If they win+24→ 1663
If they lose-24→ 1615
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1490 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mario PiazzonMatt Gawlik
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matt Gawlik66%
Mario Piazzon 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Matt Gawlik a 66% favorite over Mario Piazzon in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mario Piazzon's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1639), separated by just 0 points.
Matt Gawlik enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Mario Piazzon finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Matt Gawlik 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.