Combat Edge Intelligence

Mario Piazzon vs Ron Waterman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record16-6-2
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'2"
73"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight260 lbs
Galpao da Luta· 1691 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamColorado Stars

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mario PiazzonNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
Ron WatermanNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.84
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.37
TBD
Strike defense
43%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.19
TBD
Takedown accuracy
69%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.79

Trajectory

Mario PiazzonRon Waterman
1650170020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (73%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
1 (9%)
Submission
8 (50%)
2 (18%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Mario Piazzon66%
Ron Waterman 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mario Piazzon a 66% favorite over Ron Waterman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1637), separated by just 3 points.

Mario Piazzon finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Ron Waterman 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.