Combat Edge Intelligence

Mario Piazzon vs Stefan Struve

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-1-0Record29-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height7'0"
73"Reach84,5"
265 lbsWeight265 lbs
Galpao da Luta· 1695 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamTeam Schrijber

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mario PiazzonNow 1663
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
Stefan StruveNow 1664
If they win+12→ 1676
If they lose-12→ 1652

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1696 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.12
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.04
TBD
Strike defense
47%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.56
TBD
Takedown accuracy
47%
TBD
Takedown defense
56%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.68

Trajectory

Mario PiazzonStefan Struve
1650170020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (73%)
KO/TKO
8 (29%)
1 (9%)
Submission
18 (64%)
2 (18%)
Decision
2 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Mario Piazzon66%
Stefan Struve 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mario Piazzon a 66% favorite over Stefan Struve in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Stefan Struve's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1663 vs 1664), separated by just 1 points.

Mario Piazzon enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Stefan Struve enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mario Piazzon finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Stefan Struve 93%.

Stefan Struve carries a 11-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.