Combat Edge Intelligence

Mario Piazzon vs Steven Asplund

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record8-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'5"
73"Reach78"
265 lbsWeight261 lbs
Galpao da Luta· 1691 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamMcCune's Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mario PiazzonNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
Steven AsplundNow 1644
If they win+16→ 1660
If they lose-16→ 1628

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
10.05
TBD
Strike accuracy
52%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.64
TBD
Strike defense
50%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mario PiazzonSteven Asplund
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (73%)
KO/TKO
6 (75%)
1 (9%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (18%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Steven Asplund66%
Mario Piazzon 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Steven Asplund a 66% favorite over Mario Piazzon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1644), separated by just 4 points.

Mario Piazzon finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Steven Asplund 75%.

Steven Asplund carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.