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Combat Edge Intelligence

Mario Piazzon vs Tom Murphy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record6-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'2"
73"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight205 lbs
Galpao da Luta· 1679 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mario PiazzonNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623
Tom MurphyNow 1636
If they win+24→ 1660
If they lose-24→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1489 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.50
Not available
Strike accuracy
71%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.17
Not available
Strike defense
85%
Not available
Takedown avg.
7.51
Not available
Takedown accuracy
86%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
2.50

Trajectory

Mario PiazzonTom Murphy
160016501700200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (73%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
1 (9%)
Submission
2 (33%)
2 (18%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Mario Piazzon61%
Tom Murphy 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mario Piazzon a 61% favorite over Tom Murphy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1636), separated by just 3 points.

Tom Murphy enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Mario Piazzon finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Tom Murphy 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.