Mario Piazzon vs Yoshihiro Nakao
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record9-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height5'11"
73"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight215 lbs
Galpao da Luta· 1691 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamTeam Tackler
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mario PiazzonYoshihiro Nakao
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mario Piazzon66%
Yoshihiro Nakao 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mario Piazzon a 66% favorite over Yoshihiro Nakao in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yoshihiro Nakao's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1642), separated by just 2 points.
Mario Piazzon finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Yoshihiro Nakao 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.