Mario Pinto vs Ryan Spann
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-0-0Record24-12-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'5"
79"Reach79"
265 lbsWeight205 lbs
Urban WarriorsTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Mario Pinto is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Ryan Spann carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1772
If they lose-19→ 1740
If they win+14→ 1710
If they lose-10→ 1686
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mario PintoRyan Spann
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mario Pinto74%
Ryan Spann 26%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Mario Pinto a 74% favorite over Ryan Spann in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Mario Pinto holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1759 to 1696, a 63-point edge.
Mario Pinto enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Mario Pinto finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Spann 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.