Mario Pinto vs Ryan Spann
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
12-0-0Record24-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'5"
79"Reach79"
265 lbsWeight205 lbs
Urban WarriorsTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Mario Pinto is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ryan Spann carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1753
If they lose-17→ 1721
If they win+13→ 1723
If they lose-11→ 1699
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mario PintoRyan Spann
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mario Pinto64%
Ryan Spann 36%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Mario Pinto a 64% favorite over Ryan Spann in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Mario Pinto holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1738 to 1710, a 28-point edge.
Mario Pinto enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Ryan Spann enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Mario Pinto finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Spann 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.