Combat Edge Intelligence

Mario Pinto vs Soa Palelei

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Soa Palelei
au

Soa Palelei

“The Hulk”

22-5-0HeavyweightUFC

1736Good

Tale of the tape

12-0-0Record22-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'4"
79"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight265 lbs
Urban WarriorsTeamAKA Thailand

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mario PintoNow 1738
If they win+16→ 1754
If they lose-16→ 1722
Soa PaleleiNow 1736
If they win+12→ 1748
If they lose-12→ 1724

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.39
Sig. strikes / min
2.47
79%
Strike accuracy
58%
2.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.68
53%
Strike defense
48%
2.72
Takedown avg.
2.20
60%
Takedown accuracy
48%
100%
Takedown defense
67%
1.81
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mario PintoSoa Palelei
16501700175020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
19 (86%)
1 (8%)
Submission
3 (14%)
4 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Mario Pinto71%
Soa Palelei 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mario Pinto a 71% favorite over Soa Palelei in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1738 vs 1736), separated by just 2 points.

Mario Pinto enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Mario Pinto finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Soa Palelei 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.