Combat Edge Intelligence

Mario Rivera vs Taylor Michels

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-7-0Record1-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach70"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
California WarriorsTeamAcademy of Combat Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mario RiveraNow 1492
If they win+16→ 1508
If they lose-16→ 1476
Taylor MichelsNow 1498
If they win+24→ 1522
If they lose-24→ 1474

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mario RiveraTaylor Michels
140014501500200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
1 (100%)
1 (17%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Taylor Michels66%
Mario Rivera 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Taylor Michels a 66% favorite over Mario Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1492 vs 1498), separated by just 6 points.

Mario Rivera enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Mario Rivera finishes 50% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.