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Combat Edge Intelligence

Mario Tena vs Seigo Yamamoto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-11-0Record7-16-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight136 lbs

What's at stake

Mario Tena is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Seigo Yamamoto carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mario TenaNow 1423
If they win+15→ 1438
If they lose-17→ 1406
Seigo YamamotoNow 1400
If they win+17→ 1417
If they lose-15→ 1385

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Mario TenaSeigo Yamamoto
14001450202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
2 (25%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (38%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Seigo Yamamoto52%
Mario Tena 48%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Seigo Yamamoto a 52% favorite over Mario Tena in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mario Tena's way (47%).

Mario Tena holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1423 to 1400, a 23-point edge.

Seigo Yamamoto enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Mario Tena finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Seigo Yamamoto 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.