
Marion Reneau vs Milana Dudieva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Marion Reneau is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Milana Dudieva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Marion Reneau and Milana Dudieva within a point of even.
Marion Reneau holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1569 to 1512, a 57-point edge.
Marion Reneau enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Milana Dudieva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marion Reneau finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Milana Dudieva 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.