Combat Edge Intelligence

Marion Reneau vs Milana Dudieva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marion Reneau
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Marion Reneau

“The Belizean Bruiser”

9-8-1BantamweightUFC

1569Solid

Tale of the tape

9-8-1Record12-9-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight126 lbs
Elite TeamTeamPeresvet FT

What's at stake

Marion Reneau is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Milana Dudieva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Marion ReneauNow 1569
If they win+13→ 1582
If they lose-19→ 1550
Milana DudievaNow 1512
If they win+19→ 1531
If they lose-13→ 1499

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.20
Sig. strikes / min
0.87
42%
Strike accuracy
32%
3.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.43
60%
Strike defense
58%
0.62
Takedown avg.
2.34
64%
Takedown accuracy
45%
50%
Takedown defense
0%
0.79
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Marion ReneauMilana Dudieva
150015501600202020212022

Win method breakdown

5 (56%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
3 (33%)
Submission
6 (50%)
1 (11%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Marion Reneau and Milana Dudieva within a point of even.

Marion Reneau holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1569 to 1512, a 57-point edge.

Marion Reneau enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Milana Dudieva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marion Reneau finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Milana Dudieva 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.