Marion Reneau vs Raquel Pennington
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-8-1Record16-9-0
BantamweightDivisionWomen's Bantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
TBDReach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Elite TeamTeamAltitude MMA
What's at stake
Raquel Pennington is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Marion Reneau carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1590
If they lose-11→ 1558
If they win+11→ 1686
If they lose-21→ 1654
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marion ReneauRaquel Pennington
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Raquel Pennington75%
Marion Reneau 25%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Raquel Pennington a 75% favorite over Marion Reneau in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Raquel Pennington holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1675 to 1569, a 106-point edge.
Marion Reneau enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Marion Reneau finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Raquel Pennington 31%.
Marion Reneau and Raquel Pennington share 1 common opponent: Macy Chiasson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.