Marion Reneau vs Talita Bernardo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-8-1Record11-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'4"
TBDReach40,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
What's at stake
Talita Bernardo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Marion Reneau carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1587
If they lose-14→ 1555
If they win+14→ 1630
If they lose-18→ 1598
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marion ReneauTalita Bernardo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marion Reneau52%
Talita Bernardo 48%Elo baseline: 43%
The Combat Edge model makes Marion Reneau a 52% favorite over Talita Bernardo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Talita Bernardo's way (43%).
Talita Bernardo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1616 to 1569, a 47-point edge.
Marion Reneau enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Marion Reneau finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Talita Bernardo 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.