Marius Zaromskis vs Tymoteusz Łopaczyk
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-11-0Record14-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReach73"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamWCA Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1659
If they lose-12→ 1635
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1567 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marius ZaromskisTymoteusz Łopaczyk
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tymoteusz Łopaczyk71%
Marius Zaromskis 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tymoteusz Łopaczyk a 71% favorite over Marius Zaromskis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marius Zaromskis's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1647 vs 1646), separated by just 1 points.
Marius Zaromskis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marius Zaromskis finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Tymoteusz Łopaczyk 79%.
Marius Zaromskis and Tymoteusz Łopaczyk share 1 common opponent: Andrzej Grzebyk.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
LossKO (Punches) · 2021
WinTKO (Broken Leg) · 2020
WinSubmission (Guillotine Choke) · 2026