Mariusz Ksiazkiewicz vs Matthieu Duclos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record10-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'3"
TBDReach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Winnipeg Academy of MMATeamVenum Training Camp Paris
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mariusz KsiazkiewiczMatthieu Duclos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matthieu Duclos66%
Mariusz Ksiazkiewicz 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Matthieu Duclos a 66% favorite over Mariusz Ksiazkiewicz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mariusz Ksiazkiewicz's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1633), separated by just 1 points.
Matthieu Duclos enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Mariusz Ksiazkiewicz finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Matthieu Duclos 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.