Mariusz Ksiazkiewicz vs Neal Ewing
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record6-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Winnipeg Academy of MMATeamOctagon MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
If they win+24→ 1640
If they lose-24→ 1592
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1493 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mariusz KsiazkiewiczNeal Ewing
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mariusz Ksiazkiewicz60%
Neal Ewing 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mariusz Ksiazkiewicz a 60% favorite over Neal Ewing in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Neal Ewing's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1616), separated by just 1 points.
Neal Ewing enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Mariusz Ksiazkiewicz finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Neal Ewing 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.