Combat Edge Intelligence

Mariya Agapova vs Sumiko Inaba

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record8-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'4"
68"Reach64"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
MMA Science AcademyTeamNew Era Sports Training

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mariya AgapovaNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
Sumiko InabaNow 1611
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.43
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
55%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
52%
Strike defense
TBD
0.55
Takedown avg.
TBD
67%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
45%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.83
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mariya AgapovaSumiko Inaba
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
5 (50%)
Submission
1 (13%)
2 (20%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Sumiko Inaba60%
Mariya Agapova 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sumiko Inaba a 60% favorite over Mariya Agapova in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mariya Agapova's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1611), separated by just 2 points.

Mariya Agapova enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Sumiko Inaba enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mariya Agapova finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Sumiko Inaba 63%.

Mariya Agapova carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.