Combat Edge Intelligence

Mark Antonelli vs Patrick Hill

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-3-0Record5-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'8"
-Reach67"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Ronin Training CenterTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mark AntonelliNow 1542
If they win+24→ 1566
If they lose-24→ 1518
Patrick HillNow 1538
If they win+24→ 1562
If they lose-24→ 1514

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mark AntonelliPatrick Hill
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (40%)
Submission
2 (40%)
2 (40%)
Decision
3 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Mark Antonelli and Patrick Hill within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1542 vs 1538), separated by just 4 points.

Mark Antonelli finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Hill 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.