Mark Coleman vs Moti Horenstein
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record1-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
75"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Hammer HouseTeamMoti Horenstein MMA
What's at stake
Mark Coleman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +4 while a loss costs more — Moti Horenstein carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+4→ 1697
If they lose-20→ 1673
If they win+41→ 1441
If they lose-7→ 1393
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1727 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mark ColemanMoti Horenstein
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mark Coleman84%
Moti Horenstein 16%Elo baseline: 84%
The Combat Edge model makes Mark Coleman a 84% favorite over Moti Horenstein in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (84%).
Mark Coleman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1400, a 293-point edge.
Moti Horenstein enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Mark Coleman finishes 75% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.