Mark Coleman vs Pedro Rizzo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record20-11-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
75"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight244 lbs
Hammer HouseTeamRuas Vale Tudo
What's at stake
Mark Coleman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Pedro Rizzo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1704
If they lose-13→ 1680
If they win+13→ 1686
If they lose-11→ 1662
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1727 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mark ColemanPedro Rizzo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mark Coleman64%
Pedro Rizzo 36%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Mark Coleman a 64% favorite over Pedro Rizzo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Mark Coleman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1673, a 20-point edge.
Mark Coleman finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Rizzo 80%.
Mark Coleman and Pedro Rizzo share 1 common opponent: Fedor Emelianenko.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.