Mark Coleman vs Randy Couture
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record19-11-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
75"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight203 lbs
Hammer HouseTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Randy Couture is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Mark Coleman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1707
If they lose-11→ 1683
If they win+11→ 1732
If they lose-13→ 1708
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1727 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mark ColemanRandy Couture
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Randy Couture60%
Mark Coleman 40%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Randy Couture a 60% favorite over Mark Coleman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Randy Couture holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1721 to 1694, a 27-point edge.
Mark Coleman finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Randy Couture 58%.
Mark Coleman and Randy Couture share 1 common opponent: Antônio Rodrigo Nogueira.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.