Combat Edge Intelligence

Mark De La Rosa vs Pedro Falcão

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record16-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
38,0"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Factory XTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mark De La RosaNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
Pedro FalcãoNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.13
Sig. strikes / min
2.90
35%
Strike accuracy
48%
5
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.63
49%
Strike defense
48%
0.54
Takedown avg.
2.07
14%
Takedown accuracy
22%
40%
Takedown defense
83%
0.18
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mark De La RosaPedro Falcão
16001650170020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (9%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
6 (55%)
Submission
5 (31%)
4 (36%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Mark De La Rosa60%
Pedro Falcão 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mark De La Rosa a 60% favorite over Pedro Falcão in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1614), separated by just 1 points.

Mark De La Rosa enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Pedro Falcão enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mark De La Rosa finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Falcão 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.