Combat Edge Intelligence

Mark De La Rosa vs Raulian Paiva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record23-6-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
38,0"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Factory XTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated

What's at stake

Raulian Paiva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Mark De La Rosa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mark De La RosaNow 1615
If they win+18→ 1633
If they lose-14→ 1601
Raulian PaivaNow 1648
If they win+14→ 1662
If they lose-18→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.13
Sig. strikes / min
4.14
35%
Strike accuracy
43%
5
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.01
49%
Strike defense
49%
0.54
Takedown avg.
0.65
14%
Takedown accuracy
24%
40%
Takedown defense
77%
0.18
Submission avg.
0.16

Trajectory

Mark De La RosaRaulian Paiva
1600165017002018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

1 (9%)
KO/TKO
4 (17%)
6 (55%)
Submission
3 (13%)
4 (36%)
Decision
16 (70%)

Combat Edge model read

Raulian Paiva56%
Mark De La Rosa 44%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Raulian Paiva a 56% favorite over Mark De La Rosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Raulian Paiva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1648 to 1615, a 33-point edge.

Mark De La Rosa enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Mark De La Rosa finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Raulian Paiva 30%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.