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Combat Edge Intelligence

Mark Godbeer vs Paul Elliott

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mark Godbeer
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Mark Godbeer

“The Hand of”

13-5-0HeavyweightACA

1589Solid

Tale of the tape

13-5-0Record8-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
44,0"Reach76.4"
245 lbsWeight246 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mark GodbeerNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Paul ElliottNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.97
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
54%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
54%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
29%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Mark GodbeerPaul Elliott
1550160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (75%)
KO/TKO
8 (100%)
2 (17%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (8%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Paul Elliott64%
Mark Godbeer 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Paul Elliott a 64% favorite over Mark Godbeer in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mark Godbeer's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1589), separated by just 0 points.

Mark Godbeer enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mark Godbeer finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Paul Elliott 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.