Mark Godbeer vs Yorgan De Castro
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-5-0Record12-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
44,0"Reach74"
245 lbsWeight265 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mark GodbeerYorgan De Castro
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mark Godbeer57%
Yorgan De Castro 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mark Godbeer a 57% favorite over Yorgan De Castro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1587), separated by just 2 points.
Mark Godbeer enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Mark Godbeer finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Yorgan De Castro 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.