Mark Holst vs Nick Hrabec
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record12-7-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach77.5"
169 lbsWeight153 lbs
OAMATeamShaved Bears MMA· 1598 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mark HolstNick Hrabec
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mark Holst53%
Nick Hrabec 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mark Holst a 53% favorite over Nick Hrabec in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1567), separated by just 0 points.
Mark Holst finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Nick Hrabec 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.