Combat Edge Intelligence

Mark Holst vs Paul Sass

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Mark Holst
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Mark Holst

“Boots”

12-6-0WelterweightOttawa Academy of Martial Arts

1567Solid
Paul Sass

Paul Sass

“Sassangle”

14-2-0LightweightBFC

1682Good

Tale of the tape

12-6-0Record14-2-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
169 lbsWeight155 lbs
OAMATeamTeam Kaobon

What's at stake

Paul Sass is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Mark Holst carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mark HolstNow 1567
If they win+21→ 1588
If they lose-11→ 1556
Paul SassNow 1682
If they win+11→ 1693
If they lose-21→ 1661

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.25
Sig. strikes / min
0.53
19%
Strike accuracy
26%
1.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.90
48%
Strike defense
52%
0.76
Takedown avg.
0.53
100%
Takedown accuracy
17%
60%
Takedown defense
33%
2.28
Submission avg.
7.38

Trajectory

Mark HolstPaul Sass
155016001650170020122013

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
7 (58%)
Submission
13 (93%)
1 (8%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Paul Sass75%
Mark Holst 25%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Paul Sass a 75% favorite over Mark Holst in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Paul Sass holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1682 to 1567, a 115-point edge.

Mark Holst finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Paul Sass 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.