Mark Hominick vs Pablo Garza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-12-0Record12-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team TompkinsTeamAcademy of Combat Arts
What's at stake
Pablo Garza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Mark Hominick carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1583
If they lose-11→ 1559
If they win+14→ 1620
If they lose-18→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mark HominickPablo Garza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pablo Garza67%
Mark Hominick 33%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Pablo Garza a 67% favorite over Mark Hominick in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Pablo Garza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1606 to 1570, a 36-point edge.
Mark Hominick enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Mark Hominick finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Pablo Garza 75%.
Mark Hominick and Pablo Garza share 1 common opponent: Yves Jabouin.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.