Mark Hominick vs Thomas Paull
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-12-0Record12-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'7"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Team TompkinsTeamTeam Underground MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1582
If they lose-12→ 1558
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mark HominickThomas Paull
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Thomas Paull66%
Mark Hominick 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Thomas Paull a 66% favorite over Mark Hominick in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mark Hominick's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1570), separated by just 0 points.
Mark Hominick enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Mark Hominick finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Paull 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.