Combat Edge Intelligence

Mark Hominick vs Yves Edwards

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Mark Hominick
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Mark Hominick

“The Machine”

20-12-0FeatherweightUFC

1570Solid
Yves Edwards
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Yves Edwards

“Thugjitsu Master”

42-22-1LightweightUFC

1686Good

Tale of the tape

20-12-0Record42-22-1
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team TompkinsTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Yves Edwards is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Mark Hominick carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mark HominickNow 1570
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-8→ 1562
Yves EdwardsNow 1686
If they win+8→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.20
Sig. strikes / min
2.91
43%
Strike accuracy
43%
4.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.34
70%
Strike defense
67%
0.27
Takedown avg.
0.76
67%
Takedown accuracy
54%
71%
Takedown defense
69%
0.41
Submission avg.
0.66

Trajectory

Mark HominickYves Edwards
155016001650170017502011201220132014

Win method breakdown

9 (45%)
KO/TKO
17 (40%)
7 (35%)
Submission
16 (38%)
4 (20%)
Decision
9 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Yves Edwards57%
Mark Hominick 43%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Yves Edwards a 57% favorite over Mark Hominick in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Yves Edwards holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1686 to 1570, a 116-point edge.

Mark Hominick enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Yves Edwards enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Mark Hominick finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Yves Edwards 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.