Combat Edge Intelligence

Mark Hulme vs Patrick Walsh

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Patrick Walsh
us

Patrick Walsh

“The Beast of the East”

10-3-0HeavyweightCES

1639Solid

Tale of the tape

13-5-0Record10-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height5'11"
74"ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight258 lbs
Team CIT· 1712 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamWai Kru MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mark HulmeNow 1638
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622
Patrick WalshNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.03
TBD
Strike accuracy
19%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.83
TBD
Strike defense
65%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3
TBD
Takedown accuracy
55%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.50

Trajectory

Mark HulmePatrick Walsh
160016501700201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
8 (62%)
Submission
2 (20%)
5 (38%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Mark Hulme60%
Patrick Walsh 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mark Hulme a 60% favorite over Patrick Walsh in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Patrick Walsh's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1639), separated by just 1 points.

Mark Hulme enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mark Hulme finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Walsh 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.