Mark Hunt vs Roy Nelson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-14-1Record24-20-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height6'0"
72"Reach72,0"
265 lbsWeight249 lbs
American Top TeamTeamCountry Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1637
If they lose-12→ 1613
If they win+12→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1619
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mark HuntRoy Nelson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Mark Hunt and Roy Nelson within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1631), separated by just 6 points.
Mark Hunt enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Roy Nelson enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Mark Hunt finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Roy Nelson 83%.
Mark Hunt and Roy Nelson share 3 common opponents: Derrick Lewis, Frank Mir and Antonio Silva.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.