Combat Edge Intelligence

Mark Hunt vs Stefan Struve

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mark Hunt
nz

Mark Hunt

“The Super Samoan”

13-14-1HeavyweightUFC

1625Solid

Tale of the tape

13-14-1Record29-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height7'0"
72"Reach84,5"
265 lbsWeight265 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Schrijber

What's at stake

Stefan Struve is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Mark Hunt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mark HuntNow 1625
If they win+13→ 1638
If they lose-11→ 1614
Stefan StruveNow 1664
If they win+11→ 1675
If they lose-13→ 1651

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1696 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.81
Sig. strikes / min
3.12
43%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.04
51%
Strike defense
47%
0.51
Takedown avg.
0.56
56%
Takedown accuracy
47%
64%
Takedown defense
56%
0.20
Submission avg.
1.68

Trajectory

Mark HuntStefan Struve
165017002017201820192020

Win method breakdown

10 (77%)
KO/TKO
8 (29%)
0 (0%)
Submission
18 (64%)
3 (23%)
Decision
2 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Stefan Struve75%
Mark Hunt 25%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Stefan Struve a 75% favorite over Mark Hunt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Stefan Struve holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1664 to 1625, a 39-point edge.

Mark Hunt enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Stefan Struve enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mark Hunt finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Stefan Struve 93%.

Mark Hunt and Stefan Struve share 1 common opponent: Antonio Silva.

Stefan Struve carries a 12-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinKO/TKO · 2015
Antonio Silva
WinKO/TKO · 2016