Combat Edge Intelligence

Mark Hunt vs Stipe Miocic

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mark Hunt
nz

Mark Hunt

“The Super Samoan”

13-14-1HeavyweightUFC

1625Solid

Tale of the tape

13-14-1Record20-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height6'4"
72"Reach 80"
265 lbsWeight234 lbs
American Top TeamTeamStrong Style Fight Team

What's at stake

Stipe Miocic is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Mark Hunt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mark HuntNow 1625
If they win+17→ 1642
If they lose-7→ 1618
Stipe MiocicNow 1765
If they win+10→ 1775
If they lose-22→ 1743

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1802 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.81
Sig. strikes / min
4.67
43%
Strike accuracy
53%
2.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.01
51%
Strike defense
52%
0.51
Takedown avg.
1.74
56%
Takedown accuracy
34%
64%
Takedown defense
65%
0.20
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mark HuntStipe Miocic
16501700175020172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

10 (77%)
KO/TKO
15 (75%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (23%)
Decision
5 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Stipe Miocic83%
Mark Hunt 17%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Stipe Miocic a 83% favorite over Mark Hunt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Stipe Miocic holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1765 to 1625, a 140-point edge.

Mark Hunt enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Stipe Miocic enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mark Hunt finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Stipe Miocic 75%.

Mark Hunt and Stipe Miocic share 2 common opponents: Alistair Overeem and Fabrício Werdum.

Stipe Miocic carries a 8-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossKO/TKO · 2017
Alistair Overeem
WinKO/TKO · 2016
LossKO/TKO · 2014
Fabrício Werdum
Lossko/tko · 2016