Combat Edge Intelligence

Mark Hunt vs Thomas Petersen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mark Hunt
nz

Mark Hunt

“The Super Samoan”

13-14-1HeavyweightUFC

1625Solid

Tale of the tape

13-14-1Record11-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height6'1"
72"Reach74"
265 lbsWeight257 lbs
American Top TeamTeamSpartan MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mark HuntNow 1625
If they win+12→ 1637
If they lose-12→ 1613
Thomas PetersenNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.81
Sig. strikes / min
3.10
43%
Strike accuracy
60%
2.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.61
51%
Strike defense
55%
0.51
Takedown avg.
3.01
56%
Takedown accuracy
43%
64%
Takedown defense
88%
0.20
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Mark HuntThomas Petersen
16502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (77%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (9%)
3 (23%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Thomas Petersen71%
Mark Hunt 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Thomas Petersen a 71% favorite over Mark Hunt in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mark Hunt's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1625), separated by just 0 points.

Mark Hunt enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mark Hunt finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Petersen 73%.

Thomas Petersen carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.