Mark Kerr vs Raphael Pessoa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-11-0Record10-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
--Reach78″
255 lbsWeight247 lbs
Team KerrTeamTop Brother MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1577
If they lose-16→ 1545
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mark KerrRaphael Pessoa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Raphael Pessoa52%
Mark Kerr 48%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Raphael Pessoa a 52% favorite over Mark Kerr in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1566), separated by just 5 points.
Mark Kerr enters on a 8-fight loss streak.
Raphael Pessoa enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Mark Kerr finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Raphael Pessoa 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.