Mark Madsen vs Mateusz Legierski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record14-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1713
If they lose-16→ 1681
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1680
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mark MadsenMateusz Legierski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mateusz Legierski66%
Mark Madsen 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mateusz Legierski a 66% favorite over Mark Madsen in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mark Madsen's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1697 vs 1696), separated by just 1 points.
Mark Madsen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mateusz Legierski enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Mark Madsen finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Mateusz Legierski 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.