Mark Madsen vs Michael Dufort
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record17-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
72"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Rumble SportsTeamH2O MMA· 1644 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1713
If they lose-16→ 1681
If they win+16→ 1714
If they lose-16→ 1682
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mark MadsenMichael Dufort
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Dufort70%
Mark Madsen 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Dufort a 70% favorite over Mark Madsen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1697 vs 1698), separated by just 1 points.
Mark Madsen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Michael Dufort enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Mark Madsen finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Michael Dufort 94%.
Michael Dufort carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.