Mark Munoz vs Matt Hamill
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-6-0Record13-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Reign MMATeamIndependent
What's at stake
Mark Munoz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Matt Hamill carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1651
If they lose-20→ 1619
If they win+20→ 1576
If they lose-12→ 1544
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mark MunozMatt Hamill
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mark Munoz70%
Matt Hamill 30%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Mark Munoz a 70% favorite over Matt Hamill in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Mark Munoz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1639 to 1556, a 83-point edge.
Matt Hamill enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Mark Munoz finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Matt Hamill 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.