Combat Edge Intelligence

Mark Munoz vs Nick Catone

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Mark Munoz
us

Mark Munoz

“The Filipino Wrecking Machine”

14-6-0MiddleweightUFC

1639Solid
Nick Catone
us

Nick Catone

“The Jersey Devil”

10-4-0MiddleweightUFC

1619Solid

Tale of the tape

14-6-0Record10-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Reign MMATeamNick Catone MMA & Fitness

What's at stake

Mark Munoz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Nick Catone carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mark MunozNow 1639
If they win+15→ 1654
If they lose-17→ 1622
Nick CatoneNow 1619
If they win+17→ 1636
If they lose-15→ 1604

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.12
Sig. strikes / min
2.11
51%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.32
57%
Strike defense
63%
3.17
Takedown avg.
3.71
30%
Takedown accuracy
44%
58%
Takedown defense
83%
0.55
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Mark MunozNick Catone
160016502012201320142015

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (30%)
7 (50%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Nick Catone51%
Mark Munoz 49%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Nick Catone a 51% favorite over Mark Munoz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mark Munoz's way (47%).

Mark Munoz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1639 to 1619, a 20-point edge.

Mark Munoz finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Nick Catone 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.