Mark Munoz vs Ryan Jensen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-6-0Record21-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight175 lbs
Reign MMATeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Mark Munoz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Ryan Jensen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1653
If they lose-18→ 1621
If they win+18→ 1604
If they lose-14→ 1572
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mark MunozRyan Jensen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mark Munoz70%
Ryan Jensen 30%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Mark Munoz a 70% favorite over Ryan Jensen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Mark Munoz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1639 to 1586, a 53-point edge.
Mark Munoz finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Jensen 100%.
Mark Munoz and Ryan Jensen share 1 common opponent: Demian Maia.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.