Combat Edge Intelligence

Mark Munoz vs Tim Boetsch

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Mark Munoz
us

Mark Munoz

“The Filipino Wrecking Machine”

14-6-0MiddleweightUFC

1639Solid
Tim Boetsch
us

Tim Boetsch

“The Barbarian”

21-13-0MiddleweightUFC

1631Solid

Tale of the tape

14-6-0Record21-13-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach74,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Reign MMATeamTeam Irish

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mark MunozNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623
Tim BoetschNow 1631
If they win+12→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1619

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1692 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.12
Sig. strikes / min
2.93
51%
Strike accuracy
51%
2.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.90
57%
Strike defense
57%
3.17
Takedown avg.
1.45
30%
Takedown accuracy
34%
58%
Takedown defense
59%
0.55
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Mark MunozTim Boetsch
165017002013201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
13 (62%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (14%)
7 (50%)
Decision
5 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Mark Munoz54%
Tim Boetsch 46%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Mark Munoz a 54% favorite over Tim Boetsch in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1631), separated by just 8 points.

Tim Boetsch enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Mark Munoz finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Tim Boetsch 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.