Mark Striegl vs Said Nurmagomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-5-0Record18-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Round 1 MMATeamFight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 rated
What's at stake
Said Nurmagomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Mark Striegl carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1616
If they lose-10→ 1584
If they win+10→ 1737
If they lose-22→ 1705
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1692 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mark StrieglSaid Nurmagomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Said Nurmagomedov79%
Mark Striegl 21%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Said Nurmagomedov a 79% favorite over Mark Striegl in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Said Nurmagomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1727 to 1594, a 133-point edge.
Mark Striegl enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Said Nurmagomedov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mark Striegl finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Said Nurmagomedov 56%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.