Mark Vologdin vs Pedro Carvalho
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-2Record15-10-0
BantamweightDivisionWelterweight
5'5"Height5'11"
65"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight165 lbs
Allstars Training CenterTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
Mark Vologdin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Pedro Carvalho carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1650
If they lose-17→ 1618
If they win+17→ 1625
If they lose-15→ 1593
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mark VologdinPedro Carvalho
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Mark Vologdin and Pedro Carvalho within a point of even.
Mark Vologdin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1635 to 1608, a 27-point edge.
Pedro Carvalho enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Mark Vologdin finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Carvalho 60%.
Pedro Carvalho carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.