Combat Edge Intelligence

Mark Vologdin vs Sergio Cossio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-4-2Record19-12-1
BantamweightDivisionWelterweight
5'5"Height5'7"
65"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight166 lbs
Allstars Training CenterTeamInv1ktus Durango

What's at stake

Mark Vologdin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Sergio Cossio carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mark VologdinNow 1635
If they win+14→ 1649
If they lose-18→ 1617
Sergio CossioNow 1595
If they win+13→ 1608
If they lose-11→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.93
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
47%
Strike accuracy
TBD
10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
41%
Strike defense
TBD
0.50
Takedown avg.
TBD
14%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
57%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mark VologdinSergio Cossio
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
6 (32%)
4 (33%)
Submission
9 (47%)
2 (17%)
Decision
4 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Mark Vologdin51%
Sergio Cossio 49%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Mark Vologdin a 51% favorite over Sergio Cossio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Mark Vologdin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1635 to 1595, a 40-point edge.

Sergio Cossio enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mark Vologdin finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Sergio Cossio 79%.

Sergio Cossio carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.