Combat Edge Intelligence

Mark Vorgeas vs Ollie Schmid

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ollie Schmid
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Ollie Schmid

“Ollie / The Hungarian Stallion”

4-3-0FeatherweightUFC

1534Average

Tale of the tape

6-3-1Record4-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeight5'11"
TBDReach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Subfighter MMATeamCity Kickboxing

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mark VorgeasNow 1535
If they win+24→ 1559
If they lose-24→ 1511
Ollie SchmidNow 1534
If they win+24→ 1558
If they lose-24→ 1510

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1498 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mark VorgeasOllie Schmid
14501500155020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (17%)
KO/TKO
3 (75%)
4 (67%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (17%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Mark Vorgeas and Ollie Schmid within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1535 vs 1534), separated by just 1 points.

Mark Vorgeas finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Ollie Schmid 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.