Mark Vorgeas vs Ollie Schmid
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-3-1Record4-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeight6'0"
TBDReach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Subfighter MMATeamCity Kickboxing
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1559
If they lose-24→ 1511
If they win+24→ 1559
If they lose-24→ 1511
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1498 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mark VorgeasOllie Schmid
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ollie Schmid55%
Mark Vorgeas 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ollie Schmid a 55% favorite over Mark Vorgeas in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mark Vorgeas's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1535 vs 1535), separated by just 0 points.
Mark Vorgeas finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Ollie Schmid 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.