Mark Weir vs Phillip Miller
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-18-1Record16-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight182 lbs
RangeTeamWilliams Combat Grappling
What's at stake
Phillip Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Mark Weir carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1555
If they lose-6→ 1531
If they win+8→ 1733
If they lose-24→ 1701
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mark WeirPhillip Miller
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Phillip Miller84%
Mark Weir 16%Elo baseline: 75%
The Combat Edge model makes Phillip Miller a 84% favorite over Mark Weir in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).
Phillip Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1725 to 1537, a 188-point edge.
Phillip Miller enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Mark Weir finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Phillip Miller 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.