Combat Edge Intelligence

Marlon Moraes vs Rob Font

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rob Font
us

Rob Font

22-10-0BantamweightUFC

1731Good

Tale of the tape

23-13-1Record22-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
67"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top TeamTeamNew England Cartel

What's at stake

Rob Font is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Marlon Moraes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Marlon MoraesNow 1653
If they win+15→ 1668
If they lose-9→ 1644
Rob FontNow 1731
If they win+9→ 1740
If they lose-15→ 1716

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1732 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1743 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.37
Sig. strikes / min
5.36
41%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.70
54%
Strike defense
57%
0.87
Takedown avg.
0.74
42%
Takedown accuracy
30%
46%
Takedown defense
44%
0.35
Submission avg.
0.34

Trajectory

Marlon MoraesRob Font
165017001750202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (43%)
KO/TKO
9 (41%)
6 (26%)
Submission
4 (18%)
7 (30%)
Decision
9 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Rob Font75%
Marlon Moraes 25%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Rob Font a 75% favorite over Marlon Moraes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Rob Font holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1731 to 1653, a 78-point edge.

Marlon Moraes enters on a 8-fight loss streak.

Rob Font enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marlon Moraes finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Rob Font 59%.

Marlon Moraes and Rob Font share 2 common opponents: Cory Sandhagen and José Aldo.

Rob Font carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossTKO · 2020
Cory Sandhagen
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023
WinDecision (split) · 2019
José Aldo
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2021