Marlon Moraes vs Yadong Song
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-13-1Record23-9-1
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
67"Reach67"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Alpha Male
What's at stake
Yadong Song is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Marlon Moraes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1668
If they lose-9→ 1644
If they win+9→ 1760
If they lose-15→ 1736
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1732 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1753 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marlon MoraesYadong Song
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yadong Song84%
Marlon Moraes 16%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Yadong Song a 84% favorite over Marlon Moraes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Yadong Song holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1751 to 1653, a 98-point edge.
Marlon Moraes enters on a 8-fight loss streak.
Marlon Moraes finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Yadong Song 57%.
Marlon Moraes and Yadong Song share 2 common opponents: Cory Sandhagen and Henry Cejudo.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.